Model-Informed Regulatory Science

Submission-ready PMTA evidence — without the consultants or the million-dollar studies.

Three in-browser modules — in-silico PK, Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk and population-health impact — turn your product data into an FDA §1114.7 / eCTD-ready report in hours. Every parameter comes from real, externally-validated sources — evidence you file directly, saving the consultant fees and bespoke lab and clinical studies a submission would otherwise cost.

FDA CTP 2024 ELCR memo ICH M15 · FDA MIDD CORESTA COMPUTE Real PATH · ClinicalTrials.gov data Reviewer & QA sign-off block
3Regulatory-grade compute modules
21+Peer-reviewed citations behind it
eCTDeCTD-compatible report output
ELCR · live

ELCR — Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk

HPHC concentrations → Σ ELCR · % of 1R6F reference
1R6F
33 / 100kΣ ELCR (cases)
0.33%of 1R6F ref
LowerFDA concern level

In-silico PK — Virtual Clinical Trial

Monte Carlo cohort · 5–95% PI · calibrated to observed PK
16.8Cmax (ng/mL)
13.5Tmax (min)
762AUC₀–∞

PHIA — Population Modeling

5/6-state Markov model · 50–75 year horizon
19,251PDA · deaths averted
481kLYG
8.0adoption ratio
📄 Submission-format report · ToC · appendices · sign-off
The problem

Filing blind is a multi-million-dollar gamble

Before committing to clinical studies, you need credible early evidence to cut trial-and-error cost.

M5

Methodology-transparency demands

Reviewers require parameters, models and citations to be fully traceable.

Missing early-stage quantitative evidence

Before clinical trials there is no quantitative basis for assessment.

multi

Cross-section & cross-market comparability

Multiple SKUs and markets need one unified methodology baseline.

Built for the PMTA applicant

What this changes for your submission

From a small or mid-size manufacturer's seat, three things decide whether a submission is worth filing — clarity, a credible report, and better odds at the gate.

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Bilingual guidance, accurate inputs

Every field, method note and result is available in 中文 and English — so you understand exactly what the FDA expects and enter the right numbers, instead of guessing through English-only science.

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A validated, all-English PMTA-ready report

The deliverable is a professional, all-English submission-format report (no Chinese in the document): cover & document control, table of contents, an assumptions register, a data-provenance & traceability table, a 21 CFR §1114 cross-reference, an author, reviewer & QA sign-off block for your own team to complete, and full appendices — drafted the way an FDA reviewer reads it.

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Better odds at the gate

No tool can guarantee a Marketing Granted Order. What rigorous, computed §1114.7 evidence does is materially raise your odds of clearing FDA's acceptance & filing review — the stage most applications stumble at — so your file is taken into substantive review.

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One license, many candidates

Within your access window, run multiple product variants through all three modules — compare the evidence side by side and file the strongest, at no extra cost.

Three tools · one evidence chain

Computed evidence — not just drafted text

Each tool maps to a key FDA §1114.7 evidence element and runs entirely in your browser.

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PRODUCT 01 · §910(b) HPHC

ELCR — Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk

Core toxicological safety assessment metric

Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk from HPHC concentrations, faithful to the FDA CTP 2024-06 memo.

  • Σ ELCR and % of 1R6F reference cigarette
  • OEHHA / EPA IRIS / IARC corrected IUR library
  • FDA 5-level concern auto-tiering
Output: Σ ELCR · % of 1R6F · vs MGO ENDS median
See access plans
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PRODUCT 02 · §910(b) PK

In-silico PK

In-silico PK virtual clinical trial — Monte Carlo cohort in the browser, calibrated to observed human PK (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03379740; Yingst 2019).

  • Cmax / Tmax / AUC + 5–95% prediction interval
  • CYP2A6 phenotype & weight covariates
  • VPC overlay on observed human PK (ClinicalTrials.gov, Yingst 2019) — no synthetic data
Output: Cmax · Tmax · AUC₀–∞ · Benowitz 2009 PopPK
See access plans
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PRODUCT 03 · §910(c)(4)

PHIA — Population Health Impact Assessment

Population Health Impact Assessment via a 5/6-state Markov model over a 50–75 year horizon.

  • PDA, LYG and adoption-ratio outputs
  • Dual tipping-point sensitivity (switch + youth)
  • Scenario A vs B comparison + Monte Carlo
Output: PDA · LYG · ΔCS% · CORESTA COMPUTE
See access plans
Methodology positioning

A submission-grade computational platform aligned with mainstream regulatory science

The methodology of all three EBSH modules aligns strictly with the ICH, NMPA, US EPA and CORESTA international regulatory-science systems. Model equations, parameter values and citations are all public and verifiable, and output maps directly to regulatory submission section structure.

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Submission-grade rigor

Model equations, parameter values and citations all meet regulatory-review traceability requirements.

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Built-in uncertainty quantification

Monte Carlo sampling · reproducible seeds · bootstrap 90% CI · 5–95% prediction intervals.

Review-ready diagnostics & eCTD output

VPC self-consistency checks, sensitivity / tipping-point analysis and peer-reviewed benchmark comparison — delivered as a paginated, submission-format report (print-to-PDF + HTML) with a full method statement, assumptions register and a machine-readable scenario record in the reproducibility appendix.

Credibility & regulatory alignment

Why this modeled evidence is credible

FDA's broader scientific direction supports model-based evidence: the March 2026 draft NAMs guidance (for drug development) recognizes in-silico modeling, and FDA CTP has signaled openness to computational toxicology (Cecil, 2024). For tobacco PMTAs the model is fit-for-purpose supporting evidence in a weight-of-evidence file, paired with a small confirmatory study — and every report is fully traceable, with an assumptions register, data-provenance table and a 21 CFR §1114 cross-reference.

FDA CTP 2024 ELCR memoICH M15 MIDDFDA MIDD Pilot FDA NAMs draft (2026 · drug dev.)US EPA RAGS Part F OEHHA · US EPA IRIS · IARCCORESTA N°81 / N°22 CORESTA COMPUTE TFCDC NVSS · PATH (US) Also recognized: NMPA MIRS / PopPK (2020) — for China filings
How we differ

PMTA Hub online models vs. traditional research

The same PMTA evidence elements — the traditional way, versus computed in your browser. Lab inputs you already hold (e.g. HPHC results) become validated, submission-ready evidence in minutes.

Evidence element Traditional research PMTA Hub online model
ELCR · toxicological safetyHPHC lab results → manual IUR calc + external tox review · weeksSame HPHC lab results → Σ ELCR auto-computed (FDA CTP 2024-06) · minutes
In-silico PK · §910(b)Clinical PK study run by a CRO · months · high costVirtual PK trial — Monte Carlo cohort, calibrated to observed PK · minutes
PHIA · §910(c)(4)Epidemiology / health-economics consultant · weeks5/6-state Markov PHIA model · PDA / LYG · minutes
Cost per element¥¥¥ per study or consultant engagementOne fixed, transparent price
TurnaroundWeeks to monthsMinutes · fully self-service
Output & dataFormat varies · raw data leaves your hands (CRO / cloud)Validated, all-English PMTA-ready report (§1114.7) · inputs never leave your browser
Transparent · self-service

Four fixed prices. Buy online in 5 minutes.

No negotiation, no sales calls. Pick a plan, pay, and your account provisions automatically.

Pay your way: Stripe (Visa/Mastercard/Amex, USD) · Alipay · WeChat Pay · RMB corporate wire.
On-demand 6% VAT e-invoice. Full refund if unused; non-refundable once a report is viewed or exported.

Procurement

Fully self-service · live within 5 minutes of payment

Standard SaaS flow — no sales follow-up, no custom quotes, no contract negotiation. Clicking buy accepts the standard terms; the system provisions your account automatically after payment. Invoices on demand.

1

Choose a plan

Click the access button on the pricing card

Instant
2

Pay online

Alipay / WeChat / card / corporate wire

Real-time
3

Auto-provision

Account created · credentials emailed

≤ 5 min
4

Invoice on demand

Submit your email in the console for an e-invoice

Optional · 24h
5

Auto-renew

Reminder 30 days out · one-click cancel

Automatic

See your formula's evidence today

Start the free in-browser trial, or book a 30-minute walkthrough of the three tools and the PMTA-ready report.

Runs in your browser — submission data never leaves it Paginated print-to-PDF + HTML export · scenario JSON inside the report · full citations Account live within 5 minutes of payment

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FAQ

About the models, the FDA & your data